Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 377.902997 428.658139 484.874361 551.959078 630.095991 718.543825 826.680925
2025-12-14 299.301541 365.122748 444.503075 548.091262 680.876822 846.964251 1072.928006
2025-12-21 249.256416 318.103868 405.681111 526.695146 691.841098 912.657857 1235.928773
2025-12-28 227.850820 302.223331 401.276538 545.174091 752.787103 1047.648693 1509.512112
2026-01-04 212.545394 291.456482 400.829702 566.871897 818.626296 1196.259773 1825.839006
2026-01-11 194.779318 274.650965 389.143163 569.613053 855.233467 1304.668196 2096.739543
2026-01-18 176.427372 254.740749 370.270719 558.374897 867.415817 1374.668850 2314.195302
2026-01-25 161.036588 237.532325 353.350050 547.579677 877.856763 1441.685217 2536.127409
2026-02-01 153.360769 231.229724 352.332719 561.777781 931.052958 1588.335239 2930.280827
2026-02-08 143.211221 220.025743 342.278953 559.437409 954.632441 1684.506134 3243.655225
2026-02-15 133.567542 208.751942 330.961138 553.442940 970.395246 1767.534849 3545.007843
2026-02-22 126.671484 201.370762 325.372720 556.760108 1003.488618 1888.248908 3950.553765
2026-03-01 117.928075 190.392730 313.015571 547.074687 1011.561942 1962.314945 4273.232425
2026-03-08 110.977302 181.959462 304.405451 543.530341 1031.514285 2064.666672 4687.307151
2026-03-15 102.093118 169.471788 287.506893 522.304560 1012.445053 2079.229177 4886.256631
2026-03-22 99.639984 168.157180 290.698613 540.608821 1078.649379 2294.958422 5659.151957
2026-03-29 97.734329 167.649264 295.276843 562.093896 1154.601986 2546.532350 6598.985877
2026-04-05 93.588123 162.698524 291.003583 564.808260 1188.767088 2702.861902 7308.262278
2026-04-12 88.141058 154.934244 280.685121 553.680181 1189.447846 2775.069797 7782.041620
2026-04-19 83.182317 147.769954 271.007288 542.990373 1189.829607 2846.673909 8274.699233
2026-04-26 81.259196 146.299378 272.530571 557.049770 1252.206411 3095.457650 9432.787084
2026-05-03 77.771649 141.540858 267.021090 554.732301 1273.380562 3234.068512 10252.414701
2026-05-10 74.175943 136.340836 260.222513 548.796426 1284.532212 3346.131081 11012.320013